オーストリアの住宅ローン金利:ECB市場価格による12カ月予想

オーストリアの住宅ローン金利:ECB市場価格による12カ月予想

10-15-Year fixed · Policy rate set by the European Central Bank

Estimated, not live: The ECB MFI interest-rate series for this member did not return a value on the last run. The figures below are periodically recalibrated estimates, not a live reading.

Will オーストリア mortgage rates go up or down over the next 12 months?

Higher +56bp

Interest-rate futures currently imply that the typical 10-15-Year fixed in オーストリア rises from 3.60% today to 4.16% by 2027-08, about 56 basis points higher. This is not a forecast: it is the mortgage rate consistent with what markets are already pricing for European Central Bank policy.

Today
3.60%
10-15-Year fixed
Implied in 12 months
4.16%
2027-08
Implied change
+56bp
Policy rate 2.25% → 2.98%

データ更新日 2026-09-05. Derived from interest-rate futures pricing for the policy rate, plus this market's long-run mortgage spread, pass-through factor and transmission lag. Market pricing changes daily and has been wrong before. Not financial advice.

Mortgage Rate
3.60%
10-15-Year fixed
ECB Deposit Rate
2.25%
Shared by all 20 members
Spread vs ECB
+1.35pp
Lender margin over policy
10Y Govt Bond
2.95%
Harmonised long-term rate

How mortgages work in オーストリア

Austria mixes fixed-period products, typically 10 to 15 years, with Euribor-linked variable loans. Variable lending was the historic norm and still accounts for a meaningful share of the stock, so Austrian household interest burdens moved faster during the tightening cycle than the fixed-heavy Belgian or Dutch markets.

The rate quoted above is the ECB's MFI new-business rate for loans for house purchase in オーストリア, so it reflects what borrowers are actually signing today rather than the stock of existing loans.

Implied 12-month path for オーストリア

The euro area has one policy rate and one futures curve. This table applies the euro-area composite's implied 12-month change to this member's current new-business rate; it does not model a separate national pass-through.

Implied ECB Deposit Rate予測 10-15-Year fixedスプレッド
2026-102.47%3.64%+1.17pp
2026-102.47%3.67%+1.20pp
2026-112.55%3.71%+1.16pp
2026-122.68%3.77%+1.09pp
2027-012.68%3.82%+1.13pp
2027-022.75%3.87%+1.12pp
2027-032.86%3.93%+1.08pp
2027-042.86%3.98%+1.13pp
2027-052.92%4.03%+1.12pp
2027-062.96%4.08%+1.12pp
2027-072.98%4.13%+1.15pp
2027-082.98%4.16%+1.18pp

オーストリア compared with the rest of the euro area

Typical Product住宅ローン金利Spread vs ECB
スロバキアFixed-period mortgage (3-5 yr)4.30%+2.05pp
エストニアEuribor-linked variable4.20%+1.95pp
ラトビアEuribor-linked variable4.00%+1.75pp
ギリシャFixed-period mortgage3.90%+1.65pp
リトアニアEuribor-linked variable3.90%+1.65pp
オランダ10-30-Year fixed3.85%+1.60pp
キプロスFixed-period mortgage3.85%+1.60pp
イタリア20-30-Year mutuo a tasso fisso3.75%+1.50pp
アイルランド3-5-Year fixed3.75%+1.50pp
ベルギー20-Year fixed3.70%+1.45pp
ドイツ10-Year Festzinsbindung3.65%+1.40pp
オーストリア10-15-Year fixed3.60%+1.35pp
スロベニアFixed-rate mortgage3.60%+1.35pp
ポルトガルMixed / fixed-period mortgage3.55%+1.30pp
クロアチアFixed-rate mortgage3.55%+1.30pp
ルクセンブルクFixed-rate mortgage3.55%+1.30pp
フランス20-25-Year taux fixe3.45%+1.20pp
スペイン15-30-Year hipoteca tipo fijo3.35%+1.10pp
フィンランドEuribor-linked variable3.35%+1.10pp
マルタVariable-rate mortgage3.30%+1.05pp

Frequently Asked Questions

On current market pricing, no. Futures pricing implies the typical 10-15-Year fixed in オーストリア rises from 3.60% today to 4.16% by 2027-08, about 56 basis points higher. That path assumes the European Central Bank policy rate follows the futures curve and the mortgage spread returns to its long-run average of 1.30 percentage points. It is what the market implies, not a forecast.

The typical mortgage in オーストリア is the 10-15-Year fixed, currently 3.60% as of 2026-09-05. The European Central Bank policy rate is 2.25%, so borrowers pay a spread of 1.35 percentage points over the policy rate, covering the lender's funding cost, credit risk and margin.

About 85% of a European Central Bank policy rate change reaches the typical mortgage rate in オーストリア, and it takes roughly 4 months to get there. The rest is absorbed by the lender's spread, which moves with bond yields, funding conditions and competition rather than with the policy rate itself.

関連